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I've experienced bad service from Telus - both technical and from actual people - more times than I can count. But I've never had them directly lie to me to get me into a contract. Or so I thought. Turns out, they did.
In June 2009 my 3-year contract with Telus ran out. I called to ask about renewing, and long story short they told me if I renewed with them, I could get a $25/month unlimited data plan. I agreed.
I went to pick out a new phone (I went with a Blackberry) and sign a new contract. They couldn't renew my plan, they had to give me a new type of plan and then add new features for free. I was worried that they would jack up the charges later on. "Don't worry," they said. "We won't do that." Concerned nonetheless, I had them write on the contract that my monthly plan was the plan plus features plus data for the named prices. I still have my copy of the contract.
Today I was told by Telus that the unlimited data plan I had been promised for renewing with them was now going up by $5. This is a classic bait-and-switch: get someone to sign a contract for one plan, then jack up the prices. I spoke to a representative on the phone who basically confirmed that Telus can raise their rates at any time for any reason; the only thing the 3-year contract does is require me to stick with them to receive the shafting.
Things had been looking up - I was very happy with Telus for the past 9 months. No longer.
The moral of the story is never sign a contract with Telus.Comments:
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In case you missed the news.
The wedding site has more.Comments:
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DSU Elections coverage has moved to Punditry.ca.
Join me and 6 other DSU pundits as we cover the DSU elections. You'll probably recognize most of the names, as they are known for things much more impressive than my personal "having a website and an opinion".
You can expect the same mix of news, rumour, opinion, and random unprovoked attacks that you've experienced at MikeSmit.com these past few years. Plus, enjoy a system for leaving comments that doesn't totally suck!
Come on in, the water's fine. Comments:
MMSS says:
[Mar 6th @ 08:09pm]
just not the same...

Yes, that's my sister, and yes, she is engaged.
And no, I didn't *really* find out on Facebook, she called me.
Congrats to Meg & Chris!
If anyone reading this site has embarassing stories or pictures, I have started collecting. :D (Don't tell Megan, though, she regularly stands behind me with sharp scissors.)
(Just kidding, of course, obviously she'll see this page.)Comments:
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Sorry for the delay, I was having trouble getting electrons into my electronics. The problem is solved; here now, the betting pool results.
... wow man, did I ever get smacked around. I called VP SL wrong, and was off by enough on all of the margins to feel ashamed. And Senate... wow, my margins were nowhere near the studied indifference voters displayed toward the candidates, and I called one winner wrong. Luckily for me, most other people did just as poorly.
To calculate the results, I took the official results from www.dsu.ca, removed the spoiled votes, and calculated the percentages. I then subtracted the guesses from the actuals. For 2 candidate races, I took the difference between the pundit's guess for the winner, and the winner's actual results. This was the total error. As I do for all >2 candidate races every year, I calculated all of the differences, summed them, and then divided the total error by 2 to prevent the greater room for error from skewing the results.
The overall winner is "Anonymous #2". Congratulations... they didn't enter a name, so I don't even know who they are. Chris 'No One Will Ever Live Up To My Accomplishments' Ide placed second, and I somehow came in third, but I don't deserve it. All those with total error under 100 are shown here.
| Name | Total Error | | Anon 2 | 39.8 | | Chris I | 42.1 | | MikeSmit.com | 46.8 | | Keith S | 47.2 | | Will D | 49.7 | | Anon 1 | 51.9 | | Election farce | 52.9 | | Jae-Con | 56.8 | | Mike P | 70.4 | | Eric S | 71.3 | | AEB | 72.8 | | DalStudent FTW | 75.8 | | Lisa B. | 76.9 | | Facebook App | 77.8 | | effdemocracy | 91.5 | | Malcolm X | 92.1 |
President
Amusingly, the Facebook application predicted this result, almost exactly. The best individual was C Ide. I ranked a dismal 11th, with total error of 11.74 (mostly due to my optimism regarding Hillman). Worst error was 60.
| Rank | Name | Error | | 1 | Facebook App | 3.5 | | 2 | C Ide | 5 | | 3 | Jae-Con | 5.6 | | 4 | Anon 1 | 6.2 | | 5 | Will D | 6.3 | | 11 | MikeSmit.com | 11.74 |
VP Internal
Eric S called this to within .2%, well done. Anon 2 also did very well. In fact, most pundits did very well, with 10 guesses being within 3%. That was enough to push me to 15th. Clearly I had no idea what I was talking about. Worst was 22.
The Facebook app again called it to within 2.1%; in fact, the Facebook app did well for three exec positions (best overall), but was wildly off for both the Senate and the Referendum.
| Rank | Name | Error | | 1 | Eric S | 0.2 | | 2 | Anon 2 | 0.8 | | 3 | Will D | 1.8 | | 4 | Keith S | 1.8 | | 5 | Malcolm X | 1.8 | | 6 | Facebook | 2.1 | | 15 | MikeSmit.com | 7.8 |
VP Student Life
I called this one completely wrong, which put me at 15th. I wasn't alone, though, a lot of pundits had Ali winning. Worst error was 28%.
| Rank | Name | Error | | 1 | Keith S | 0.61 | | 2 | Anon 2 | 0.61 | | 3 | Jae-Con | 2.4 | | 4 | Anon 1 | 2.6 | | 5 | AEB | 5.6 | | 15 | MikeSmit.com | 13.3 |
Senate
Mike P gets it within 6, and getting it within 11 is good enough to get me 4th. Finally, a top 5 finish for me!
The worst error here was 78.
| Rank | Name | Error | | 1 | Mike P | 6.0 | | 2 | Chris I | 9.8 | | 3 | Eric S | 9.9 | | 4 | MikeSmit.com | 10.8 | | 5 | AEB | 12.6 |
HSA Referendum
This is the only race where I actually came close, and its the referendum, which is why I say I don't deserve the third place overall... seriously boring race to call. That said, the worst guess was off by 40%.
| Rank | Name | Error | | 1 | Election farce | 1.0 | | 2 | Anon 2 | 1.0 | | 3 | effdemocracy | 1.0 | | 4 | MikeSmit.com | 3.0 |
Comments:
John Hillman says:
[Mar 24th @ 01:48am]
You know, I was going to warn you against putting that much faith in me when I saw you had me at 20%, but I figured it would probably be in violation of one of the elections rules.
To be fair, I think you might have come closer to the 20% mark if you we're only looking at people who had a chance to hear me/ see me / know of my existence (IE: Your readers, who you probably took into consideration when making your predictions), but the low turnout combined with the efficient campaign machines of my opponents definitely skewed the numbers against you.
If I ever run again, I'll be sure to fill you in on how badly I expect to have my ass handed to me before the ban on campaigning sets in. :-)
mike says:
[Mar 24th @ 02:57am]
Curse those campaign rules!
But come on, where were all of the "We need change!" voters? Have we finally disillusioned them enough that they'll stop cursing us with the occasional winning candidate who hasn't already inhaled the DSU kool-aid?
Dal Alum says:
[Mar 24th @ 11:01am]
As an alum, I don't get a vote. However based purely on your campaign and reading here I'd of thrown a vote for you Hillman.
Till Next Year says:
[Mar 26th @ 05:27am]
Well...this concludes another election. I guess we'll all be back here next year and Mike's bandwidth can spread its legs out and relax.
The Gazette beat me to this by like 3 hours, and it was posted to this site in the comments an hour ago. My apologies; I was in the area and decided at the last minute to stop by the Grawood to see how things were going.
These are the winners; detailed results to follow.
President
Courtney Larkin
VP Internal
Dan Boyle
VP Education
Mark Coffin
VP Student Life
Kris Osmond
Senate
Kaylyn Fraser
Eric Snow
Jonathan Hughes
Graduate Senate
Yannick Tremblay
HSA Referendum
Yes (Passed) Comments:
Upset About Prez says:
[Mar 21st @ 03:17am]
It's a shame Tara didn't take it. I guess politicking and weighing fines against fair play wins in the end...
Look forward to a very ineffective and inefficient DSU...more so than usual.
Gregory Debogorski AKA Gregorian says:
[Mar 21st @ 12:37pm]
I beat Smit's 5% prediction. Hahaha!
The DSU isn't so screwed. Atleast Snow got in. That means that there will be atleast one decent memeber on council.
I will have to try and heckle Larkin like I did Tipping last year.
And Osmond, I am riding your a** at council all year for your vindictive spite.
Mario says:
[Mar 21st @ 01:42pm]
In Debogorski we trust!
Anonymous DSUer says:
[Mar 21st @ 02:02pm]
Vindictive spite, Greg? Like calling you out on shockingly stupid things you said on the Internet? That was a valid question, and one that I think needed to be asked.
Actually, your threat to "ride your a**" at council sounds pretty spiteful and vindictive. That's some fine hypocrisy there, Greg.
How about instead of heckling or 'riding people's a**es' you do something constructive? Maybe then people would take you seriously (if you hadn't figured it out already, nobody does right now).
BongDong says:
[Mar 21st @ 02:57pm]
When are the full results going to be released - i.e. total counts for each candidate, spoiled ballot numbers etc.?
NoneSubmitted says:
[Mar 21st @ 05:26pm]
I'm sure you may like to "ride his ass". I don't think Kris goes for me though.
John Packman says:
[Mar 21st @ 06:17pm]
You can see all the results at The Gazette website. And even though you can't see it in our statistics, Courtney Larkin won by 24 votes and Senate Andrew Christofi lost by 3 votes.
Talk about fucking close.
John
What Do You Expect? says:
[Mar 21st @ 08:28pm]
The candidates are all interchangeable (well, with a few notably useless exceptions) ... nobody stood out as exceptional. Is it any wonder voters split?
Gregory Debogorski says:
[Mar 22nd @ 02:27pm]
My share of voter turnout increased 2% from last year.
The total voter turnout speaks to everything I said during the elections.
It really matters if students take me seriously; they obviously take the Union no more seriously. I shall try and change this in the future; this is in regards to both the Union and my own platform.
This was the first year I developed a platform; it and my knowledge of the Union needs a lot of work.
I agree the, the comments were a little spiteful. I apologise for the tone, but not the anger.
The "insiders" had an obvious play in this election. And my anger and frustration comes not from losing this year's election, but from having to personally tell the people who did vote for me that I lost. The disappointment in their eyes is brutal. It is what I get for not being prepared. If anything, perhaps some issues were brought to the forefront; perhaps Larkin will do better as president than Tipping, or as she did as VP of student life.
I will uphold my original promise; I will be back next year.
For the Union!
Sarah says:
[Mar 22nd @ 03:35pm]
For the sake of transparency, I have posted all of the statistics on the DSU Elections website.
Not the CRO says:
[Mar 23rd @ 05:10pm]
With all due respect to the author of this site and those in charge of the DSU electoral process, I really think the integrity of the election has been compromised in part by the sort of discussion that has taken place on this blog.
Specifically, I am a bit uncomfortable with the realtime analysis of voter turnout as it has been presented here. It is my understanding that Mr. Smit runs and administers the ivoteonline software and because of this has privileged access to certain data that would be unavailable elsewhere.
On this basis, I would suggest it behooves both Mr. Smit and the DSU to maintain the highest level of integrity vis-a-vis the election data. In that respect, I think that the posting of the actual rate of voter turnout and the author's accompanying analysis are wholly inappropriate.
This sort of thing leads to rumours and questions about the integrity of the other data Mr. Smit or the DROs/CROs would seemingly have access to. I don't wish to cast aspersions on anyone's character but the electoral process is much like justice - in order for electoral legitimacy to take hold, integrity must be done and must be seen to be done.
In recent days, I have heard rumours that those administering the election adjusted policies and sent out repeated voting reminders on the basis of turnout data made available on this site. While voter turnout is a crucial issue confronting any student union, its important to recognize its value as a measure of the DSU's ability to capture the attention/imagination of its constituents. Whether you vote, spoil, choose not to vote, or simply forget - your choice of action or absence of action contribute to the democratic will expressed by the electorate. While the rumoured conduct is not akin to stuffing ballot boxes in the name of a particular candidate, it does distort the the will of the people.
Without taking things too seriously, I would also suggest that the organizing of friendly betting pools is also the sort of activity that tends to undermine the recent DSU elections. I hate to spoil the fun - and it is fun to read, comment, and analyze - but it really does seem out of place that those who would have the best access to election data would risk compromising the perceived truth of that data by attempting to accurately predict the election results.
Online voting (or any mechanized black box that obscures balloting) will always have its challenges in terms of transparency. The voter will never be able to watch their "ballot" enter the box, so to speak. For that reason, those who would administer such software have a duty to conduct themselves to the highest possible standard. I respect Mr. Smit and the attention his work has brought to Student politics at Dal, but I think we need to reconsider how we approach online voting.
mike says:
[Mar 23rd @ 07:19pm]
I don't generally respond to anonymous rumour monging. People with legitimate complaints go through legitimate channels. However, on the off-chance more than a single person feels this way, I will respond publicly. The record should be set straight. This is, however, the furthest extent to which I will engage with anonymous smear campaigns.
In summary, I read a lot of vague statements, unsupported rumours, and assertive statements that don't follow from the offered rumours - even if they were true, which they aren't. Let's go point-by-point.
"I really think the integrity of the election has been compromised"
This is a serious accusation, and unfortunately not one supported by the remainder of the comment. I saw no grounds to challenge the integrity of the election, and certainly no case is made to explain how knowing voter turnout affects the results. I will happily defend the integrity of this election.
"It is my understanding that Mr. Smit runs and administers the ivoteonline software."
This is correct, I have been running the online portion of DSU elections for 7 years. I also run elections for St Francis Xavier, St Mary's University, and the Law Student Society.
"and because of this has privileged access to certain data that would be unavailable elsewhere."
This is incorrect. I do not access any data that is not available to the Elections Committee. I also have a signed confidentiality agreement with the Union that protects confidential information, and I have never violated this agreement.
"to maintain the highest level of integrity vis-a-vis the election data."
I would assert that we do, and since you've offered no evidence to the contrary...
"[posting of the actual rate of voter turnout] leads to rumours and questions about the integrity of the other data Mr. Smit or the DROs/CROs would seemingly have access to."
This is the first I have heard of such rumours and questions. In fact, I still have no idea what these rumours and questions would be.
I have never, and will never, use(d) any information that is not public on this site. The CRO and Elections Committee have always been assured of that. In fact, I work extraordinarily hard to distinguish my role with the committee and my role with this site. I am happy to offer evidence of this.
"I don't wish to cast aspersions on anyone's character"
There's been no evidence of this so far.
"in order for electoral legitimacy to take hold, integrity must be done and must be seen to be done. "
Again, still not seeing how the elections lack legitimacy, or for that matter how I lack integrity.
"In recent days, I have heard rumours that those administering the election adjusted policies and sent out repeated voting reminders on the basis of turnout data made available on this site."
Heard, or invented? Those administering the elections have, and have always had, complete access to real-time voter turnout. I have no idea why they would get that information from MikeSmit.com. Voter turnout has also always been public information, all the way from back when we used pen and paper to keep track of voting. I also fail to see the problem with redoubling marketing efforts based on feedback. This has been done every year for the past decade, and probably for long before that, including when we used paper ballots. I have never heard complaints, and can think of no basis for complaints.
I am also aware of no policy adjustments made during this election; however, I am not intimately familiar with everything the Elections Committee does. I suggest you take this up with them.
"While the rumoured conduct is not akin to stuffing ballot boxes in the name of a particular candidate, it does distort the the will of the people."
You'll have to draw a line for me from "getting people to vote" to "distorting the will of people". You'll also want to tell me who is rumouring this conduct, as I would be happy to reassure them myself. Even contrasting it to ballot box stuffing is so ludicrous it's not even insulting.
"the organizing of friendly betting pools is also the sort of activity that tends to undermine the recent DSU elections."
... really? I participate in betting pools for all levels of government, and this has never come up before.
"those who would have the best access to election data would risk compromising the perceived truth of that data"
The betting pool was complete in its entirety before there WAS any elections data.
I have no idea why the perceived truth of the elections data would be compromised by a betting pool that concluded before elections began, nor have I heard this in the four years I have been involved with DSU elections betting pools.
"For that reason, those who would administer such software have a duty to conduct themselves to the highest possible standard."
And so we do. And have, for 7 years. To imply otherwise, anonymously, is both criminal and cowardly.
"I respect Mr. Smit and the attention his work has brought to Student politics at Dal"
... again, there's been no evidence of this so far.
"but I think we need to reconsider how we approach online voting."
That's a vague generality. I would encourage you to bring your suggestions up in an appropriate forum - online voting has changed to meet the needs of the DSU over the past decade, and every comment and suggestion is considered.
One desperate Chechen says:
[Mar 23rd @ 07:56pm]
Online voting, secure? The only people who think online voting is secure are the makers and the politicians the makers purchased.
An AK47 is the only vote that counts.
Another Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 23rd @ 08:58pm]
Questioning Mike's integrity just because you don't like his coverage or the results of the election is cheap. Grow up.
The other other Anon says:
[Mar 23rd @ 09:29pm]
The internet is for freedom, I'll do whatever I damn well please on it.
Be that ruining pages on Wikipedia about the DSU or learn how to make Hyper-Jenkem.
Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 23rd @ 09:48pm]
Mike likes to play the satirical asshole on this site, but I probably knew him before you, and he has great personal integrity.
Still Not the CRO says:
[Mar 23rd @ 09:58pm]
Questioning how data has been handled and the conduct of recent elections is hardly criminal or cowardly. As well, if you don't like or appreciate anonymous comments, it is within your power to disallow them.
I will add that I didn't accuse you of anything nor impugn your integrity. In fact, I went to great lengths to ensure I didn't.
My reasons for posting anonymously are my own. I am not a candidate nor associated with any campaign. Thank you.
My criticism is that the integrity of election procedures are partly undermined by the online discussion and distribution of voter turnout data that has taken place here. Note the language. I did not say: "seriously undermined", "total sham", or "illegitimate." My criticism is meant to be modest.
The problem here is one of perception and optics. If you are going to administer the information services that support an election, I offer that you should not also be commenting on data trends or organizing betting pools. Especially publicly. As a voter, I find it unseemly. I would liken your position to that of an independent auditor or judge. You are in an implicit position of trust.
Whether or not anything nefarious is going on is irrelevant for the purpose of the discussion I'm trying to have. The fact is, I'm sure you don't have any bias and your record speaks for itself. Finally, I'll state that your personal word is good enough for me personally. As I said earlier, I have no reason to cast aspersions on you or anyone else. But I can ask the question - your defensive response would suggest I'm not welcome to do so here. That would be a shame, but if you would rather I come up with a witty pun on VAJ/Internal and leave you be - I can deliver on cue.
As I said in my earlier post, I'm talking exclusively about the appearance of integrity. The process has to be airtight.
Is it?
As a voter, how do I know beyond what you assert, that it is?
Is the above off limits? Feel free to delete and disregard.
mike says:
[Mar 23rd @ 10:35pm]
I did not intend to sound defensive; I apologize if I did. My intent was only to respond to questions and rumours with facts. Online communication is really a terrible forum. :)
I welcome debate and discussion, but not anonymously and completely in the wrong forum. Anonymously publishing rumours and implying they are fact was the source of my objections, and I felt your original comment did that.
Thank you for clarifying your motives and opinions. Whether you intended to or not, your comment did seem to me and to others to be implying more than you intended.
I am still confused about how *public* voter turnout figures impact the integrity of the election, even at a preception level, but I don't want to get into the debate here.
In keeping with the separation I try to impose between this site and my role with the committee, I would ask that you keep questions about my role with the committee to the proper forums, and not here. Also feel free to email me personally, if all you want is a discussion.
Gregory Debogorski says:
[Mar 23rd @ 11:07pm]
I thought the "non-cro" comment had a place and a point.
The appearance of the DSU is paramount to fixing apathy.
If this person is hearing talk, of the sort he mentioned, it needs to be addressed.
Mike Smit is likely the man for the job in my opinion. I can only hope he will take this seriously and not sluff it off.
But who am I.
Raughing Out Roud says:
[Mar 24th @ 12:00am]
The man for what job? What are you talking about? Do you even listen to yourself? Yourselves?
John Hillman says:
[Mar 24th @ 01:35am]
So it was Mike Smit's nefarious online scheming that caused me to lose by 89% of the popular vote! I knew something had to be off...every one of the 233 friends I talked to afterwards said they voted for me!
It was a clever ploy predicting that I would get 20% of the vote in your betting pool...almost as genius as incorrectly guessing the race for VP Student Life, utterly blowing your senate predictions, and overestimating the total voter turnout by some eight hundred students. Well played sir...you almost managed to fool me.
Regardless of whether or not I'm right, it is now officially a rumor. People are talking Mr. Smit!
Jen Bond says:
[Mar 24th @ 02:18pm]
Discussing integrity while hiding behind an anonymous alias? Excuse me if I don't fall over myself to give credence to your concerns.
As Mike has said, there are more appropriate channels for this. If you actually have legitimate concerns, as opposed to unfounded speculations, I suggest you use them.
coward for a reason says:
[Mar 25th @ 01:16am]
hey, if I was coming out with a load of vague unsubstantiated crap, based on crap rumours no one else has heard, I'd do it anonymously.
Anonymous NSPIRGer says:
[Mar 25th @ 10:21am]
Hey, I heard Mike likes to torture poor defenseless dairy animals.
MILK IS MURDER MIKE.
MILK IS MURDER.
About half an hour to go until voting closes; 2 hours after that, the results. Looks like voter turnout is going to be around 16%.
I'll try to get the results up here as soon as they are officially published by the CRO.
Just to respond more visibly to a question a commenter asked: no, I can't see the results. This is so people don't spend their time trying to parse my words trying to figure out if I am implying something about the results. I know nothing. Since I know nothing, I cannot be accused of dropping hints. :)
(History lesson: During one of the first years we ran online elections, the elections committee had real-time access to results. They intended to keep them confidential, but worked leaked out, spread fast, and accusations were levied that this information interfered with the results. Though no policy was passed regarding this, the decision was made that no one would see the results until voting closed, and that has been the convention ever since.)
Due to my role with the elections comittee, I can see the results as soon as the polls close. Due to the separation between my coverage here and that role, I will only publish the results that show up on the DSU website. Comments:
Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 20th @ 06:37pm]
holy shoot im excited
Chris "Over the DSU" Ide says:
[Mar 20th @ 07:51pm]
That makes one of us.
Chris "Pretends To Be Over the DSU" Ide says:
[Mar 20th @ 07:54pm]
of course, I'm only half kidding. If I wasn't interested I probably wouldn't spend countless minutes reading Mike's blog.
Best of luck to all the candidates.
Actually, best of luck to most of the candidates.
Wait now, best of luck to only a select few of the candidates.
God speed.
Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 20th @ 08:22pm]
I am refreshing the site from my blackberry at a political communications lecture... This is life after student politics, people...
Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 20th @ 08:25pm]
I am not 'anonymous coward', I am Chris. Damn pretentious blackberry machine.
incognito fraidy cat says:
[Mar 20th @ 09:33pm]
Atleast we know he's refreshing...
Clock watcher... says:
[Mar 20th @ 09:34pm]
...come on, come on...Where are these results? This year has been a bit disappointing...J.Bond barely updated her Blog, only one referendum question, no threats of violence, no one freaking out and running out of Presidential debates...I thought this was the age of info-tainment...?
Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:00pm]
Check out election results at dalgazette.ca under News Update. More detailed results coming soon.
sad about elected president... says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:36pm]
From Gazette:
President: Courtney Larkin
Vice President (Internal): Daniel Boyle
Vice President (Education): Mark Coffin (yes/no vote)
Vice President (Student Life): Kris Osmond
Senate Representatives:
Kaylyn Fraser
Eric Snow
Jonathan Hughes
Grad Rep: Yannick Tremblay (yes/no vote)
Halifax Student Alliance Levy- $2 (annually per full-time student): Yes
Voter Turnout: 15.9 per cent (2347 votes)
REALLY? says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:40pm]
Wow. What a painfully boring executive.
hum.. says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:44pm]
I know the results are unofficial... but it is a tad shocking that Hughes got the senate position. It will be interesting to see how close it was between candidates.
That Sure Was Close says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:49pm]
3 votes between Christofi and Hughes. Sucks to be Christofi.
hmmm... says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:51pm]
any more interesting details??
That Sure Was Close says:
[Mar 21st @ 12:05am]
Larkin and Gault were also ridiculously close. 39/41 on the first ballot, and the gap got even tighter after that.
Boyle and Osmond both won by fair clear margins. Coffin and Tremblay obviously won by huge margins. The referendum passed by a surprisingly large amount, compared to last year's referendums.
Chris M says:
[Mar 21st @ 02:57pm]
My apologies.
If the first election day is boring for everyone... the second one is even worse. In about 17 hours, the results will be announced.
Until then, let's entertain ourselves by talking about voter turnout. As of right now, we're a few votes shy of 2,000. I can remember days when the DSU voter turnout was around 5% - less than 1,000 people. I don't mean a decade I go, I mean like... 2003. 2004 saw high voter turnout (23%, if my memory is still with me). Since then we've levelled off in the 18-21% range. This year we might not break 20%. Why?
An email today went out to all students, reminding them to vote. Every year since 2004, when that email was first sent out, we've seen a major spike in the numbers. I don't have the 2004 numbers on me, but for the past 4 years, this is what the votes per hour looks like:

I've annotated it with when the bulk emails were sent out each year. You can see a BIT of spike in 2008, but not much, especially compared to previous years. It also drops much faster, another indication that the bulk email had little effect. Why? My guesses include:- Tremendous advertising work by the Elections Committee. Everyone had already heard about it by the first day, and those who wanted to voted on the first day. The spike at around 4pm on Tuesday supports this theory, as that came after a major push by the EC over Facebook and through societies.
- I understand the subject said "DSU Dispatch"; perhaps people are conditioned to delete those.
- Generally lower levels of interest among students at large; the result is they see the email, and can't be bothered. Last year's might have been artificially high because the Spaces Referendum raised the profile of the DSU among students.
- Fewer candidates. Less interesting selections. My own Union elections happened 2 weeks ago; I didn't vote. I went to the elections website, read all the profiles, and just didn't care who won. And I *never* miss a chance to vote, I voted every year at Dal, even before my DSU involvement.
Regardless, this drop in turnout worries me - if there are relatively more "DSU insiders" and friends of candidates voting, and fewer "everyman"-types voting, that's going to completely screw up my predictions. If you throw out a lot of the not-involved vote, Osmond will win by a few percent, Larkin will still win but not by as much, Hillman won't do as well as I expected, VAJ will still lose, HSA will do better, and I have no earthly idea what will happen with Senate (dsu-insiders are more likely to pick 3 candidates, friends are more likely to pick 1 candidate, and those not-involved are unpredictable... no idea what that means).
I've also graphed cumulative turnout per-hour (with the overnight hours lumped together a bit).

That shows that despite a good showing late on the first day, we're tracking low relative to previous years.
If history is any indicator, that means the aftermath will see a lot of finger pointing. Tradition is that the Elections Committee will be blamed.
I'm not sure who the leading authority on DSU elections is, but I'm pretty sure any list of the top 10 includes me. If you are a candidate for that list, you already know that the primary factors in voter turnout include a) level of the Union's engagement and visibility with students throughout the year, b) the number of candidates, c) the visibility of candidates, and d) the level of controversy. The Student Spaces referendum had turnout of 27%, and that was controversial and highly visible; also, its impact on everyone was clear and immediate. The year DSU elections turnout hit 23%, there were 25 candidates and a referendum question about DalOut.
The Elections Committee, which every year tries their damndest to get out the vote, can increase the number by some percentage, but they can only work with what they are given. Few candidates, low visibility on Carleton and in residences... it's a tough situation. So if you hear someone blame the EC for the voter turnout, I suggest you ignore them. Voter turnout is everyone's responsibility. Comments:
Anonymous Coward says:
[Mar 20th @ 03:45am]
How's about location demographics? Any idea where students are voting from?
howmuchyouknow says:
[Mar 20th @ 07:29am]
Can you see who the votes are coming in for?
mike says:
[Mar 20th @ 08:45am]
I have no idea where students are voting from.
I also have no idea how students are voting; I find out when elections are over. If I could see the results, I would never have continued to talk about predictions.
Incognito fraidy cat says:
[Mar 20th @ 09:58am]
DSU ELECTIONS - VOTE NOW!
To members of Residence Charity Face-Off Game
Courtney Larkin
Today at 12:03am
Reply
Hey!
DSU Election voting is taking place RIGHT NOW!
So click on over to:
www.dsu.ca
And do what's best for the union and vote!
You have $113 reasons to do it : )
Cheers,
Courtney
-
Perhaps that will spike voting from the Residence Community?
Incognito fraidy cat says:
[Mar 20th @ 10:26am]
629 members in that Past Event... Interesting if they read her name and decide to vote...
Chris "Never Illegally Campaigned" Ide says:
[Mar 20th @ 10:41am]
Uh-oh. Sounds like someone is going to get a fine.
mike says:
[Mar 20th @ 10:41am]
Sweet, that means my prediction might be right after all!
I don't know if the EC will rule that legal or not, I suspect they won't even consider it until they receive a formal complaint from someone.
My feeling is that sending such an email is basically part of her job as VP SL. I also think the DSU should be encouraging that kind of work. Candidates getting out the vote - whether it be in demographics likely to vote for them or not - is a good thing. I'd actually consider loosening the campaigning rules to permit campaigning during the elections period. I suspect many students went to the candidate information page and tried to go visit candidate websites, and were surprised when they could not. If 40% of voters aren't paying attention to the election until they login and cast a ballot, do we really want to force them to make a decision based on a 200 word profile and a 30 second Youtube clip?
As a historical note, it has always been my understanding that the reason they stopped campaigning before voting was because after they announced the results, there was no way to force the losers to cleanup their elections materials ("What are you doing to do? Disqualify me?"). In particular, they were concerned about the thousands of posters scattered over the campuses. Now that poster campaigning is tightly restricted... is there still a compelling reason to keep that rule in place?
Incognito fraidy cat says:
[Mar 20th @ 10:55am]
I don't know guys, if that's not illegal campaigning... I don't know what it.
It was sent at 12:03 am... This morning would of had the spike?
Incognito fraidy cat says:
[Mar 20th @ 10:56am]
I don't know what is. Not what it.
I do have a degree from Dal... I swear!
Yannick says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:23am]
the candidates received an email on wednesday afternoon stating that it was not illegal to promote voting as long as our name/position/platform/etc was not involved.
This is the examples we were given:
Good: "Hey! Don't forget to vote in the DSU elections @ www.dsu.ca!"
Bad "Yo! Vote Me for VP Awesome in the DSU elections!"
Hohn Jillman says:
[Mar 20th @ 11:38am]
I think she might be able to make a good case that the email is within elections rules. They did tell us, after all, that
"As long as your name/position/platform/etc is not involved, your facebook
status, msn names, etc can be used to promote voting. You ARE permitted to
email your friends/facebook list and ask them to vote during this election."
I'm somewhat confused as to how you can send off an email/facebook message without revealing your name, and so I've avoided doing it, but perhaps name dropping is allowed in those contexts.
I think the real issue is the no campaigning rule. Being able to hit the pavement and motivate students
would not only increase the total voter turnout, but would also level the name recognition playing field for those candidates that might not have access to mailing lists of 629 Dalhousie students.
Just a few thoughts for next year. The elections staff has done a wonderful job, especially considering that this is a election without an extremely controversial referendum issue at play.
Lisa B. says:
[Mar 21st @ 01:11am]
After seeing the final turnout tonight, I was discussing with someone the possibility of changing the elections regulation to allow for campaigning during the election period. I'd absolutely be open to that idea. As was mentioned, a lot of people don't know the election is happening until voting has commenced, and it is worrying that people might only base their vote on the bios and videos prepared at the beginning of the campaign (before a lot of candidates have a clue as to what exactly they're doing), and the ever popular photos, which surely result in a few "(s)he's hot" votes. Also, as the online presence of candidates has increased and (arguably) improved over the past couple of years, it makes little sense to deprive those less aware of the election from the get-go of the chance to familiarize themselves with the details of candidate platforms.
Though I wouldn't consider it mandatory, candidates do and should play a role in getting the vote out. However, the fear of a post-campaigning fine can affect their willingness to spread the word. Osmond was sporting this year's bright yellow "Vote Squad" t-shirt this morning and another candidate expressed concern over where the line is drawn on post-campaigning. I see the concern ("Kris is telling people to vote and they might recognize him when they go to the website."), but consider this: in a "real" election, candidates often provide voters with transportation to the polls (some will even provide Tim Bits for the drive). You can be damn sure those voters know who's driving them.
I absolutely agree that nobody on the EC can be blamed for the drop in turnout. From what I've been hearing, candidates didn't do many classroom talks this year [including Larkin who did about 8 billion last year and Tipping (on behalf of the HSA referendum) who microfocused the campaign toward residences]. The only class talk I got at the law school was the EC when I dragged them into my Constitutional Law class.
There are multiple factors at play in voter turnout, including the visibility of the DSU during the year leading up to the election. I hope that this year's marked drop in turnout, whatever the reason for it, will encourage those with the means, particularly the exec, Council, and campus media, to keep students aware and engaged so that people will (a) know the election is coming and (b) want to participate in said election even if the year is devoid of any major controversy.
Gregory Debogorski says:
[Mar 22nd @ 02:35pm]
If students are not further engaged in the decisions and activities of the Union, what makes them care when elections season comes about?
I mean, if they do not care about what the DSU does in the first place, why or what will make them care who is running it?
Does anyone have an answer for that?
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